xkcd and cognitive dissonance

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Warning: xkcd-themed post ahead. This means that, like always, every single picture has a humoristic title text. The difference is that this time, they are actually funny.

I’ve been reading xkcd for years. I’ve read every comic, What if?, and blog post from Randall Munroe. I’ve also watched many talks and speeches that he’s done over the years. I’m probably what you would call a fan. According to my biased perception of intelligence, this guy is smart.

Today, I noticed something in the comic, so I’ll talk about it because I feel like it.

Randall seems to believe in climate change / global warming / whatever else they call it these days. Extremely simplified version: We are polluting too much, and now the temperature is rising.

4_5_degrees

credit: xkcd

He has posted about that before, mocking the people who don’t “believe” in this measurable, commonly accepted phenomenon.

cold

credit: xkcd

I don’t think I should need to mention it, but I believe in Global Warming. I also happen to believe that, just like Adam’s law of slow-moving disasters would suggest, we’ll figure out a way to stop or reverse the process before it’s too late, since the sense of urgency will only go up as time goes on. That might be my own stupid cognitive dissonance-induced excuse to not feel bad about my selfish over-consumption of resources, or it might be totally logical. I, personally, have no way to know for sure.

Either way, considering my own theory of geniuses being on both sides of most issues, considering that this issue has actually become pretty political, I would expect at least some of the smart people following xkcd don’t believe in global warming. I’m not implying that every xkcd reader is smart, but you at least have to be interested in learning new things when you read that comic, because you’ll be googling about a bunch of scientific stuff if you want to understand every single strip.

Those smart people were probably pretty upset when Randall posted about this subject a couple times. They probably felt insulted. Maybe betrayed if they thought Randall was “smart” like them. I bet at least some of them sent him messages complaining. Only Randall can know how many exactly, but zero seems pretty unlikely.

Monday, he made a new comic about this subject. I won’t post it here, because the picture is 14957 pixels tall. That would make this post unreadable because 79.8% of its height would be that single picture. You can read the comic here: http://xkcd.com/1732/

Obviously, if the previous ones attracted any complaints, this one will too. But I noticed something. The previous comic, posted friday the 9th, was literally about cognitive dissonance. The exact kind of cognitive dissonance that makes people “forget” evidence that they are wrong.

wrong

credit: xkcd

This doesn’t feel like a coincidence. I think either it’s a jab at those people sending him hate mail over things like global warming, or it’s an attempt at making them see the errors of their ways. Maybe Randall is testing to see if the cognitive dissonance can be dispelled by being pointed out. I bet it won’t, but I guess it’s worth a try.

But hey, that’s just a theory. A webcomic theory! Thanks for reading.